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Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Hot Stock Picks for a Rallying Market -- Our Response to a Huffington Post Blog Entry (Part 3)


Now, my concern isn't of the Jim Cramers of the world being given a high enough platform. It is of professionals giving their suggestions and foresight on what's happening with genuine intentions. Yes, I believe those people are out there. Personally, I would like to nominate PIMCO"s Bill Gross and Mohammed El-Erian, who run the world's largest bond fund. More obvious examples are Warren Buffet and George Soros, who at many times have conflicting assessments. But, these assessments are explained, and these explanations give viewers at home added insight, a more practical education and, with time, a sharper filter to decipher useful information from the static.

While this populist rage against financial news continues, in blogs like Solin's for example, its merits shouldn't be lost.

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Hot Stock Picks for a Rallying Market -- Our Response to a Huffington Post Blog Entry (Part 2)

A couple years ago, it would have seemed unthinkable for me to orchestrate a defence of the financial news media. The thesis of Solin's blog entry could easily have been mine.

Granted, pundits try and predict where the market is going and what the public should be doing with their money. They peddle their education as a means to win credibility and identify themselves not just by their names, but the firms they are promoting. With this, the public gets their perspective, and, although the hard way, they fortunately are learning to take it with a 'grain of salt.' Bob Doll at Blackrock, Solin's example, does put himself and his firm out there with every prediction. A blown call reflects, not just on him, but on Blackrock. People cannot be chastised for putting forth their opinion to the public. Whether they're talking rubbish or not, their credibility is put on the line. And, as we listen to their opinions, we develop a filter of our own of who speaks with the most merit. For examples, viewers of Mad Money, including Jim Cramer's more ardent followers, will take his suggestions with a greater trepidation. I will be shocked if I meet anybody who regards him as an oracle.

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Hot Stock Picks for a Rallying Market -- Our Response to a Huffington Post Blog Entry (Part 1)

Two occurrences last Friday made me come back to this Huffington Post blog entry by Dan Solin. One, it was the 20th anniversary of CNBC's founding. The second was Jim Cramer's highly spirited retort to Mr. Solin's public mockery of "In Cramer We Trust" on CNBC. Cramer was so incensed that he interrupted Solin's interview to give him a piece of his mind. Where was that energy during his interview on The Daily Show, I wondered? Unfortunately, Cramer took the opportunity to attack John Bogle and defend his own prowess. It is with thoughts of financial news and their market-timing pundits, such as Cramer, that I write today.

Mr. Sorin's contribution to empowering Americans to take control of their financial future is nothing short of exemplary. While I haven't read "The Smartest Investment Book You'll Ever Read," I have heard great reviews. To him, I say, stay passionate.

However, in the great zeal seemingly everyone has taken in bashing pundits and financial news; I feel somebody needs to hear a rebuttal. While, undoubtedly in a perfect world, we would like to see the type of investigative journalism that would bring a greater credibility to outfits like CNBC and Bloomberg, if we had the option between the manner in which media coverage is conducted today or no coverage at all, which should we go with? If trashing the pundits that make bold predictions dissuades them from presenting their thoughts on the market, will it be worth it for us?

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Tuesday, April 14, 2009

C. Warren Goldring -- Canadian Mutual Fund visionary passes away.

One of the Canadian mutual fund industry's forefathers, C. Warren Goldring, passed away today at 81 years of age.

Along with Allan Monford, he combined assets of small Canadian investors in order to gain access to the New York Stock Exchange. They named the fund American Growth Fund, which would later become the name for the entire fund family, the ninth largest mutual fund firm in Canada with an assets under administration of $34.5 billion. The year was 1957, and it was the first time the small Canadian investor had been given access to the US market. For all my issues with mutual funds, Goldring, himself, brought about an early foreshadowing of a more empowered Canadian investor. It is a sad day for Canada's retail investment industry.

Below is a picture (courtesty of AGF.com) of C. Warren Goldring with AGF's current President and CEO, his son, Blake Goldring, at American Growth Fund's 50th anniversary in 2007.



Sources: Canadian Press, AGF.com

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Brilliant Frontline Documentary: "Inside the Meltdown"

The dramatic story that just took place detailing step-by-step the unravelling of the financial system. Of course, today's problems didn't just appear, but this documentary brings incredible insight into the players and their sentiment. The first of a three part series on the crisis.

With great difficulty, I will avoid elaborating and, instead, encourage you to watch the documentary yourselves. It begins as news of the possible fall of Bear Stearns ripples through the markets, and it continues with the fall of Lehman Bros and the disasterous results that follows, including the current experience at AIG.

An excellent description into the minds of those involved as they assessed moral hazard versus systemic risk.

The idea was to link to the Frontline page, but there seems to be a broken connection. So, we'll embed the documentary on this post. There is no doubt that the people at PBS will approve. Please visit www.frontline.com for great complementary resources to this material.   














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Thursday, April 9, 2009

Wells Fargo earnings surprise sends market higher


On the surface, it's incredible news, and it's been a catalyst for the markets' rise today. It sounds a little too rosy though. I'm skeptical. Such news coming up on the wake of the US government possibly ousting the banks' CEOs, and they aren't actually reporting record profits but saying they "will" report record profits. They're making it a point to let us know early? 

Great report and great news though. If it's true that their merger with Wachovia is going smoother than expected, it really is fantastic to hear. However, transparency has been such an issue during this downturn, and it shouldn't be viewed as unfair to view this sudden revelation with a good degree of suspicion.
Read the Article at HuffingtonPost

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